ESPN Sports Betting
Dec 8, 2023, 05:15 PM ET
For the second consecutive week, the Philadelphia Eagles find themselves in the role of underdog, this time on the road against their NFC East rival Dallas Cowboys. With only two teams on bye this week, we have a 15-game slate that began Thursday with the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers hitting the Over -- by halftime -- on a historically low total. There will be 12 games on Sunday highlighted by the aforementioned Eagles and Cowboys in Prime Time. The week concludes with an ABC/ESPN Monday NIght Football double-header when the Miami Dolphins host the Tennessee Titans while the Green Bay Packers pay a visit to the New York Giants. Both games start at 8:15 p.m. ET. We've got lines for all of this week's games, updated throughout the week.
Projections by ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). Odds by ESPN BET.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+110) ; Atlanta Falcons (-130)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 39.5
FPI favorite: Buccaneers by 0.4 (51.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS on the road this season despite four straight outright losses.
The Falcons have covered three straight meetings. Overs are 11-4 in the past 15 meetings.
The Falcons have covered five straight division games. They are 3-0 outright and ATS in the NFC South this season.
Detroit Lions -3 @ Chicago Bears
Soldier Field, Chicago
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Detroit Lions (-170) ; Chicago Bears (+145)
Total: 42.5; Opened: 45.5
FPI favorite: Lions by 4 (62% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their past nine games following a bye week.
Justin Fields is 1-11 outright and 3-8-1 ATS in his career as a home underdog.
The Lions are 31-15 ATS under Dan Campbell, tied with the Cowboys for the best ATS record since 2021. They are 11-4 ATS in division games under Campbell.
Four straight Lions games have gone over the total. Unders are 4-1 in the Bears' last five games.
Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (+105) ; Cincinnati Bengals (-125)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 40.5
FPI favorite: Bengals by 1.2 (53.5% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Colts -2.5
Betting Nuggets
The Colts are 4-0 ATS as favorites this season. The Colts are also 5-1 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS against teams currently with losing records.
The Colts have covered four straight games.
The Bengals are 2-7 ATS under Zac Taylor in non-Joe Burrow starts when not getting at least six points.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns -3
Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Jacksonville Jaguars (+130) ; Cleveland Browns (-150)
Total: 33.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Browns by 2.9 (58.8% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Jaguars -3
Betting Nuggets
The Jaguars have covered eight straight road games, the longest road ATS winning streak by any team since the 2016-17 Chiefs covered nine straight road games. It is the longest road ATS winning streak in franchise history.
The Jaguars have covered five straight games when the line is between +3 and -3 (3-0 ATS this season).
The Browns are 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 games following a loss.
The Browns are 5-1 ATS at home this season with unders going 5-0-1.
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints -6
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Carolina Panthers (+225) ; New Orleans Saints (-275)
Total: 37.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Saints by 7.4 (71.1% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Saints are 0-5 ATS at home this season, only team to not cover at home this season.
The Saints are 2-9-1 ATS this season, 2nd-worst cover pct in NFL (Patriots 2-10).
The Panthers 3-8-1 ATS this season, 3rd-worst in NFL.
This will be the Panthers 13th straight game as an underdog against the Saints, pushed in Week 2 this season and won outright in both games last season.
Houston Texans -3.5 @ New York Jets
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Houston Texans (-190) ; New York Jets (+160)
Total: 33.5; Opened: 36.5
FPI favorite: Texans by 2.7 (58.1% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
This is the first time the Texans have been at least six-point favorites since Week 16 of 2020 (-7.5 vs Bengals - lost). It's the first time they have been at least four-point road favorites since Week 9 of 2020 (-7 at Jaguars, won by 2).
The Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, tied with the Patriots for the longest active ATS losing streak. They are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games in November and later dating back to last season.
Unders are 5-0-1 in the Jets' last six games. Three straight Texans games have gone under the total.
Los Angeles Rams @ Baltimore Ravens -7.5
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Los Angeles Rams (+320) ; Baltimore Ravens (-400)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Ravens by 8.6 (74.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Lamar Jackson is 12-5 ATS in December/January regular-season games.
John Harbaugh is 9-6 ATS in his career off a bye.
Sean McVay is 0-8 outright and 2-5-1 ATS as an underdog of at least 6.5 points.
Minnesota Vikings -3 @ Las Vegas Raiders
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET
Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (-155) ; Las Vegas Raiders (+135)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 40.5
FPI favorite: Vikings by 4.5 (63.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Vikings have covered four straight games when the line is between +3 and -3 (4-1 ATS this season).
Unders are 9-3 in Raiders game this season (8-2 in their past 10, 4-1 in their past five).
The Vikings are 6-0 outright and 4-1-1 ATS as road favorites under Kevin O'Connell.
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers -12
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET
Money Line: Seattle Seahawks (+500) ; San Francisco 49ers (-700)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 45.5
FPI favorite: 49ers by 10.3 (78.1% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Brock Purdy will be favored in his 18th straight regular-season start to begin his career, breaking a tie with Roger Staubach for the longest streak to begin a career in the Super Bowl era. Purdy is 11-5-1 ATS in his first 17 regular-season starts.
The Seahawks are 0-4 outright and 1-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs under Pete Carroll. This is the second time in the past 12 seasons that Seattle has been a double-digit underdog (Week 16 last season at Chiefs). The Seahawks have not been double-digit underdogs against the 49ers since 1976 (+11).
The Seahawks are 52-34-2 ATS as underdogs under Pete Carroll (.605).
Teams are 2-9 ATS this season one week after facing the Cowboys (Seahawks faced Cowboys last week).
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs -1
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET
Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-105) ; Kansas City Chiefs (-115)
Total: 48.5; Opened: 48.5
FPI favorite: Bills by 1.6 (54.8% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
This is the first time a Josh Allen-Patrick Mahomes matchup has had a total in the 40's (previous low: 54). The average total in their first five meetings including playoffs is 55.0, the highest average total in any quarterback matchup in the past 35 years (minimum three meetings). Mahomes is 3-2 ATS against Allen.
The Bills are 6-0 outright after a bye under Sean McDermott (2-2-2 ATS). The Bills are 6-12-2 ATS with extra rest under McDermott.
The Chiefs are 27-13-1 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 under Andy Reid.
Patrick Mahomes is 20-7-1 ATS in his career when not laying at least 3.5 points including the playoffs. He is 7-2 ATS in his career when favored by 1-2.5 points.
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers -2.5
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET
Money Line: Denver Broncos (+125) ; Los Angeles Chargers (-145)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Chargers by 6.5 (68.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Nine of the past 10 Chargers games have gone under the total. Six of the past seven Broncos games have gone under the total.
The Chargers are 1-5 ATS this season when the line is between +3 and -3 (0-3 ATS last three). The Broncos are 7-16-1 ATS in that role since 2021.
The Chargers are 15-25-2 ATS as home favorites since moving to Los Angeles.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys -3.5
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET
Money Line: Philadelphia Eagles (+155) ; Dallas Cowboys (-185)
Total: 51.5; Opened: 51.5
FPI favorite: Cowboys by 5.2 (65.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The current total of 52.5 is the highest since Week 5. The highest total this season is 53, which was in the very first game of the season when the Lions beat the Chiefs 21-20. Each of the last six meetings has gone over the total.
The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS as favorites this season, and they are 25-10 ATS as favorites in the past three seasons.
The Eagles are 4-8 ATS as underdogs under Nick Sirianni including playoffs (4-7 ATS in regular season).
Prime-time unders are 29-12 ATS this season and 152-97-4 ATS in the past five seasons. Last week was the first time all season that all three prime-time games went over the total.
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins -13
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Monday 8:15 p.m. ET
Money Line: Tennessee Titans (+600) ; Miami Dolphins (-900)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 46.5
FPI favorite: Dolphins by 13.9 (85.3% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Dolphins are 7-1 ATS as favorites this season. Tua Tagovailoa is 17-10 ATS in his career as a favorite including 9-3 ATS when laying at least six points.
The Titans are 0-6 outright and ATS against teams currently with winning records this season. The Dolphins are 7-1 ATS against teams currently with losing records this season (8-0 outright).
Mike Vrabel is 12-5 ATS with extra rest in his career.
Prime-time unders are 29-12 ATS this season and 152-97-4 ATS in the past five seasons. Last week was the first time all season that all three prime-time games went over the total. Monday Night Football unders are 13-2 this season and 11-1 in the past 12 weeks.
Green Bay Packers -6.5 @ New York Giants
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Monday 8:15 p.m. ET
Money Line: Green Bay Packers (-320) ; New York Giants (+260)
Total: 36.5; Opened: 37.5
FPI favorite: Packers by 8 (72.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Matt LaFleur is 16-0 outright and 10-6 ATS in December in his career.
All five Giants home games have gone under the total this season. Unders are 9-3 in Giants games this season.
The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their past five games as a favorite. They are 1-5 ATS in their past six games as a road favorite.
Prime-time unders are 29-12 ATS this season and 152-97-4 ATS in the past five seasons. Last week was the first time all season that all three prime-time games went over the total. Monday Night Football unders are 13-2 this season and 11-1 in the past 12 weeks.
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